Visitors choose to chat, and the choosing is correlated with buying intent, which makes the comparison misleading.
Who opens a chat widget
A visitor with a specific question about a specific product is considerably further along than one browsing casually, and they are the ones who chat.
Their higher conversion reflects the intent that caused them to chat rather than the chat itself.
Why the multiple is so large
Reported multiples of chatters against non-chatters are large precisely because the comparison groups differ enormously in intent.
A large reported multiple is evidence of selection rather than of effectiveness.
What the comparison does show
It shows that high-intent visitors engage with chat, which is useful for understanding who to prioritise and is not a measure of impact.
Presenting it as impact is the error rather than collecting it.
Proactive is different
Where the business initiates the conversation, the selection problem is reduced because the business chose rather than the visitor.
This makes proactive conversion figures somewhat more meaningful, though targeting rules reintroduce selection.








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